• MODEL: An artificial intelligence-driven model predicts coronavirus deaths in Mexico could reach 132,000 by September 1. Monitored by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the model was designed by independent data scientist Youyang Gu, an MIT graduate.
• MACHINES: Using machine-learning along with a traditional infectious-disease model, the 132,000 deaths figure for Mexico is the mean within a range of potential fatalities going from 37,000 to 212,000. The model is based on Mexico’s deaths tally which is currently at 8,597.
• COUNTRIES: Mr. Gu’s modeling covers 70 countries and all US states. Without dividing by Mexican states, the model sees that the countries coronavirus death curve will reach its highest point on August 10. Mexico has already started a phased-in reopening that will accelerate on June 1.
• GOVERNMENT: Mexico’s coronavirus czar Hugo López Gatell reminded Wednesday that back in February his original forecast put the potential number of coronavirus deaths in Mexico between 6,000 and 30,000. This forecast was made the day Mexico officially reported its first confirmed case.
